Thursday, October 3, 2013

Tropical Storm Karen

The tropical disturbance discussed in the previous two posts has developed into a tropical storm. Instead of crossing Belize and the Yucatan, the system took a more northerly course, keeping the system over water and allowing for rapid development.

Minimum central pressure is still fairly high at 1004 mb yet this storm is making sustained 60 mph winds.  Present location is 22.0°N 87.6°W and Karen is moving NNW at 13 mph. Computer models indicate landfall east of the Mississippi delta as a hurricane. See graphics below: