Friday, August 16, 2013

No Rotation Yet

The region of disorganized thunderstorms in the western Caribbean, discussed in the preceding posts, continues moving northwest and has not yet developed any rotation. The heavy rains of the system occur in the east and northeast quarters of the system, therefore, the heaviest rains missed Belize and Guatemala, most of it falling at sea. However, the Yucatan is receiving some heavy rain from this system.

Development of this system depends on what direction it moves. If it moves more towards the west it has little or no chance to develop. If it moves north it has a better chance to develop but any development should be slow.

The system that formed south of the Cape Verde Islands became a Tropical Storm Erin but has since weakened and lost organization, and is now a tropical depression.