Wednesday, June 19, 2013

The End of TD2 (Probably)

Tropical Depression 2 moved out over the Bay of Campeche where the warm water allowed it to strengthen slightly. As I write this, TD2 is making 30 knot winds, gusting to 40 kts. The system continues to move northwest and is about to move onto mainland Mexico where it will likely disintegrate.

Tuesday, June 18, 2013

Heavy Rains Over Guatemala

The tropical disturbance discussed in the previous post developed into a tropical depression before moving inland across Belize and over Northeastern Guatemala. The system is expected to move west-northwest very slowly so there's the possibility of a lot more rain for Guatemala, Belize, and Southeastern Mexico. It is not expected to strengthen as a cyclone as long as it remains over land so high winds are not expected except possible local strong thunderstorm winds.

Tropical Depression Two
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Sunday, June 16, 2013

Possible Storm Forming Near Guatemala

A tropical wave is triggering activity off the eastern tip of Honduras. This system bears watching as there is a possibility that it develops further.

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Thursday, June 6, 2013

Tropical Storm Andrea

In just 24 hours, a disorganized group of thunderstorms southwest of Florida has organized and developed into Tropical Storm Andrea, with winds up to 60 knots (69 mph) -- almost into hurricane territory.  Andrea is moving NNE at 12 knots and the projected path and wind probabilities are shown in the NHC graphic below.  A moderate storm surge of around 3 feet is possible along the coast to either side of the point of landfall.

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Wednesday, June 5, 2013

Hurricane Season Has Commenced

We're off to a possible start to the season here with a region of disorganized thunderstorms southwest of Florida. Circulation is poor but NHC gives it a 50 percent chance of developing further.

Brush up on your knowledge of hurricanes here.

Saturday, June 1, 2013

Hurricane Season is Here

It's that time of year again.

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Hurricane Basics