Thursday, October 14, 2010

Tropical Storm Paula Might Do Something Unusual

Paula has weakened to a tropical storm and is now affecting the far western tip of Cuba.  A couple of the forecast models have Paula tracking the north coast of Cuba, through the Florida Straits and out into the Atlantic.  However most of the models have Paula approximately following the track shown in the graphic below.

If the track curves to the right and across Cuba, it will be interesting to see what happens when the storm moves back into the Western Caribbean.  Will it strengthen again?  Where will it go?  The track will likely continue curving to the right and Paula might come back into our neighborhood again.

Tropical Storm Paula.
Click to view larger.