Tuesday, September 14, 2010

Tropical Storm Karl in the Bay of Honduras

As expected, we now have Tropical Storm Karl out in the Bay of Honduras.  It's sustaining winds of 35 kts and central pressure is 1000 mb.  Heavy rains are expected over Cuba, Caymans, Yucatan, and parts of Belize.  The storm is passing NE of us, so should not affect us too much here in Izabal but we should watch for any changes.

A Full Lineup of Tropical Storms

As can be seen in the NOAA image below we have a full lineup of storms on deck in the Atlantic.  Julia is a category 1 hurricane, Igor is a category 4 hurricane, and right in our backyard northeast of Honduras we have a mass of disorganized convective activity that has been gradually strengthening for the past few days as it moved into our area.  This region is expected to continue to develop and will likely become a cyclone.  A hurricane hunter aircraft is going to investigate today.

However it is not expected that any of these features will trouble us here in Guatemala.  If the activity northeast of Honduras develops into a cyclone we'll be on the wrong side of it to receive much moisture, if any, as it moves across the Yucatan.