Sunday, June 27, 2010

Alex Upgraded to Tropical Storm

Location: 19.4N 91.3W
Maximum sustained winds: 40 kts, 45 MPH, 75 kmh

As expected, Tropical Storm Alex didn't waste any time winding up again as soon as it had access to the warm waters of the Gulf. There's a 50 percent chance Alex becomes a hurricane in less than 48 hours. Projected second landfall is somewhere between La Pesco, Mexico and Brownsville, Texas.

Tropical Depression Alex, Update 1800 CST 27Jun10

Location: 19.2N 90.9W moving WNW at 8 kts
Minimum central pressure: 999 mb
Maximum sustained winds: 30 kts, gusting to 40 kts.

Alex is approaching the Bay of Campeche and even though the center of the storm is not yet over water, it is already showing signs of strengthening as more of the storm moves over the warm water of the Gulf of Mexico. Alex is expected to strengthen to a tropical storm by midnight tonight.

The storm continues to trigger convection and rain over Guatemala, southern Mexico, and the Gulf. Here in Rio Dulce, Izabal, it has not rained all day and we had a sunny afternoon, but that could easily change.

First Reports of Damage from Alex

Tropical Storm Alex dropped a lot of rain on Guatemala, Honduras, and El Salvador, and more is expected. Guatemala has been on Orange Alert since before the rains began.

A landslide in Sololá has left two dead. A group of 20 men were working on a dirt road to provide access to their community when the rains began. Four of the workers took shelter under a rock and were killed when the rock loosened. Rather than wait for rescue authorities, the workers rescued the bodies themselves.

Conred reports there have been several landslides and collapses caused by the rains. One occurred at km 131 on the road from Tiquisate to Río Bravo, Suchitepéquez. Others are reported in the villages of Ojer Coc La Vega and San Jose Poaquil, Chimaltenango. Others have occured between San José Poaquil and Las Mejoranas Saquitacaj in the same municipality of Chimaltenango.

Another collapse was reported at km 144.5 on the Pan-American Highway, Chichicastenango, Quiche. Another at km 32.5 in the jurisdiction of Auto Mariscos, Escuintla, and another at kilometer 49 of the highway to Palin, Escuintla

Guatemala on Alert for Flooding

Heavy rains from Tropical Storm Alex have been falling across Guatemala. Here in Izabal it rained steadily all night although there was little or no thunderstorm activity. Conred has issued an orange alert for all of Guatemala and a special high alert for Izabal. No serious flooding has yet taken place but there are dozens of rivers throughout Guatemala that are capable of flooding and causing destruction.

Rain is expected to continue today (Sunday) and into the week so the alerts remain in force.

Tropical Depression Alex 9:00 AM 27Jun10

Location: 18.7N 90.6W, moving west
Maximum sustained winds 30 kts, 35 MPH, 55 kmh

Tropical Storm Alex has weakened and been downgraded to a tropical depression. It is expected enter the Gulf of Mexico and strengthen before making landfall near Tampico, Mexico.

Conditions in the Caribbean are not conducive to cyclone formation for the next 48 hours.

Tropical Storm Alex Update 6:00 AM 27Jun10

Location: 18.4N 89.9W, 94 nm SSE of Campeche, Mexico
Movement: WNW at 10 knots
Minimum central pressure: 1000 mb
Maximum sustained winds: 35 kts, gusting to 45 kts

Alex continues to take advantage of the broad upper level ridge that provides it with good outflow in all directions except the south so the storm has not weakened quite as much as expected. Widespread rain and thunderstorms related to Alex continue across much of Central America but most of the deep convection is in the Yucatan, across souther Mexico, and into the Pacific Ocean off the coast of Mexico right now.