Friday, June 25, 2010

Tropical Depression One Image

Here's a very pretty image of the storm at 22:00 local time, June 25, 2010








Honduras Issues Storm Warning

The government of Honduras just issued tropical storm watches for the Honduran coast from Limon to the Guatemalan border.


In addition, tropical storm warnings were issued for the islands of Roatan and Utila.

4 to 8 Inches of Rain Forecast for Eastern Guatemala

The National Hurricane Center in it's 8 PM advisory regarding Tropical Depression One is forecasting 4 to 8 inches of rain for Eastern Guatemala and the same for the area of the Yucatan where the storm is expected to make landfall.

TD1 Causing Rain in Eastern Guatemala

We have some pretty wild convective storms going on here over much of Central America.


This image is from 8:10 PM Local Time, June 25, 2010






Tropical Depression One

Here we go. Welcome to hurricane season.

FONT11 KNHC 252159 PWSAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 2200 UTC FRI JUN 25 2010 AT 2200Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.

The models project this storm to move towards Cozumel, Mexico. More updates as they are released.

ALERT: Probable Tropical Storm

A large area of disorganized thunderstorms in the western Caribbean between the northeast corner of Honduras and the Caymans is showing signs of organization. The National Hurricane Center gives it a high chance (70 percent) of becoming a cyclone. An aircraft will explore the disturbance today to see if rotation has begun.

The area is visible on the images HERE.

2010 Hurricane Season Starting Strong

Despite sea surface temperatures only in the low to mid-80s, we have seen that upper level wind shear and other factors are producing conditions that are very conducive to cyclone formation.

Right now in the Eastern Pacific we have Category 5 Hurricane Celia located southwest of Cabo San Lucas, Baja California. Celia is moving west so is not a threat to land. Right behind Celia and following roughly the same track is Category 2 Hurricane Darby, located about 400 miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, also moving west. Darby is bringing rain to southwestern Mexico but is not a serious threat to land.

Directly off the Pacific coast of Guatemala and El Salvador is an area of low pressure and strong disorganized thunderstorms. The National Hurricane Center gives this system a 60 percent chance of becoming a tropical depression in the next 48 hours. This system poses an increased rain threat to Guatemala as it is moving very slowly west northwest at only 10 miles per hour. Conred has issued an Orange Alert regarding this system.

Of interest to eastern Guatemala, there is activity on the Atlantic side. Off the northeast tip of Honduras is a large area of disorganized thunderstorms and falling barometric pressure. The National Hurricane Centers gives a 70 percent chance of a cyclone developing from this system. Most computer models are projecting cyclone development and eventual landfall in the Yucatan but we need to keep a close eye on this one. And there a large area of disorganized thunderstorms located about 600 miles east of Puerto Rico, moving slowly WNW. NHC is giving only a 10 percent chance of cyclone formation in this system during the next 48 hours